Red Sox at Rays
Last play · Richie Palacios pops out to third baseman Rafael Devers in foul territory.
Win probability
Rays0%
BOS 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 2 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Rays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wilyer Abreu singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jose Siri. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd. (inning 8) — -26% Red Sox
9Reese McGuire homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.5–2
8Romy Gonzalez grounds out, third baseman Isaac Paredes to first baseman Yandy Díaz.4–2
8Wilyer Abreu singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jose Siri. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd.3–2
6Jarren Duran homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.2–2
2Vaughn Grissom singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. Rafael Devers scores. Reese McGuire to 2nd.1–2
1Isaac Paredes singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran, deflected by third baseman Rafael Devers. Josh Lowe scores. Randy Arozarena scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
