Red Sox at Rays
Last play · Brandon Lowe pops out to catcher Connor Wong in foul territory.
Win probability
Rays0%
BOS 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 5 – 3 TB
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -145
Rays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Connor Wong singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Vaughn Grissom scores. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Wilyer Abreu to 3rd. (inning 5) — -25% Red Sox
9Yandy Díaz homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.8–5
7Jonny DeLuca singles on a ground ball to third baseman Rafael Devers. Richie Palacios scores. Ben Rortvedt to 2nd.8–4
6Wilyer Abreu homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Jarren Duran scores.8–3
6Jarren Duran doubles (14) on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.6–3
5Dominic Smith singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Rafael Devers scores. Rob Refsnyder to 3rd.5–3
5Rob Refsnyder singles on a line drive to right fielder Richie Palacios. Connor Wong scores. Rafael Devers to 3rd.4–3
5Connor Wong singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Vaughn Grissom scores. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Wilyer Abreu to 3rd.3–3
5Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. David Hamilton scores. Vaughn Grissom to 2nd.1–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
