Orioles at Rays
Last play · Yandy Díaz pops out to third baseman Ramón Urías in foul territory.
Win probability
Rays0%
BAL 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 4 – 2 TB
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Rays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan Mountcastle homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Gunnar Henderson scores. (inning 5) — -27% Orioles
8Jordan Westburg homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Ryan O'Hearn scores.6–3
6Taylor Walls singles on a ground ball to shortstop Gunnar Henderson. Jose Siri scores. Jonny DeLuca to 3rd. Taylor Walls to 2nd. Throwing error by shortstop Gunnar Henderson.4–3
5Ryan Mountcastle homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Gunnar Henderson scores.4–2
3Amed Rosario out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Yandy Díaz scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd.2–2
2Jose Siri homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.2–1
2Orioles challenged (home-plate collision), call on the field was upheld: Orioles challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Ramón Urías doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Colton Cowser scores.2–0
2Anthony Santander homers (13) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














