Orioles at Rays
Last play · Brandon Lowe strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Rays0%
BAL 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 1 – 0 TB
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Rays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan O'Hearn homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 4) — -20% Orioles
9Gunnar Henderson homers (20) on a fly ball to right field. Connor Norby scores. Cedric Mullins scores.5–0
8Jordan Westburg triples (4) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jose Siri. Ryan O'Hearn scores.2–0
4Ryan O'Hearn homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














