Orioles at Rays
Last play · José Caballero pops out to third baseman Ramón Urías.
Win probability
Rays0%
BAL 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 4 – 2 TB
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Rays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan O'Hearn doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Richie Palacios. James McCann scores. Gunnar Henderson scores. (inning 5) — -27% Orioles
7Ryan O'Hearn singles on a ground ball to right fielder Richie Palacios. Gunnar Henderson scores.5–2
5Ryan O'Hearn doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Richie Palacios. James McCann scores. Gunnar Henderson scores.4–2
3James McCann homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.2–2
2Alex Jackson homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. José Caballero scores.1–2
1Gunnar Henderson homers (21) on a fly ball to center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














