Mariners at Rays
Last play · J.P. Crawford strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays100%
SEA 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 1 – 1 TB
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Rays favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Jose Siri scores. Jonny DeLuca scores. José Caballero to 3rd. (inning 8) — +61% Rays
8Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Jose Siri scores. Jonny DeLuca scores. José Caballero to 3rd.3–4
8Ben Rortvedt hits a ground-rule double (8) on a line drive down the left-field line. Taylor Walls scores. Jose Siri to 3rd.3–2
7Mitch Garver homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Dominic Canzone scores.3–1
4Taylor Walls singles on a line drive to right fielder Dominic Canzone.1–1
4Cal Raleigh homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














