Mariners at Rays
Last play · Jorge Polanco flies out sharply to center fielder Jose Siri.
Win probability
Rays100%
SEA 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 2 – 2 TB
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Rays favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Taylor Walls triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Richie Palacios scores. Jose Siri scores. (inning 6) — +31% Rays
8Isaac Paredes homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. José Caballero scores.3–11
7Ben Rortvedt singles on a ground ball to left fielder Luke Raley. Richie Palacios scores. Jose Siri scores. Taylor Walls to 3rd. Fielding error by left fielder Luke Raley.3–9
7Richie Palacios singles on a ground ball to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Josh Lowe scores.3–7
7Mitch Garver homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.3–6
6Ben Rortvedt homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Taylor Walls scores.2–6
6Taylor Walls triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Richie Palacios scores. Jose Siri scores.2–4
5Ty France homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Jorge Polanco scores.2–2
2Jose Siri singles on a line drive to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Richie Palacios scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














