Cubs at Rays
Last play · Nico Hoerner grounds into a double play, shortstop Taylor Walls to second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Isaac Paredes. Michael Busch out at 2nd. Nico Hoerner out at 1st.
Win probability
Rays100%
CHC 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 2 – 0 TB
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Rays favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ben Rortvedt grounds out, second baseman Michael Busch to first baseman Cody Bellinger. Jose Siri scores. Josh Lowe to 3rd. (inning 7) — +23% Rays
7Yandy Díaz singles on a line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Josh Lowe scores.2–3
7Ben Rortvedt grounds out, second baseman Michael Busch to first baseman Cody Bellinger. Jose Siri scores. Josh Lowe to 3rd.2–2
7Josh Lowe singles on a line drive to left fielder Mike Tauchman. Amed Rosario scores. Jose Siri to 3rd.2–1
5Yan Gomes out on a sacrifice bunt, catcher Alex Jackson to first baseman Yandy Díaz. Nico Hoerner scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd.2–0
5Pete Crow-Armstrong reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Isaac Paredes. Michael Busch scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd. Missed catch error by catcher Alex Jackson, assist to third baseman Isaac Paredes.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














