Yankees at Rays
Last play · Juan Soto lines out sharply to center fielder Jose Siri.
Win probability
Rays100%
NYY 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 1 – 4 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Rays favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Isaac Paredes homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. Randy Arozarena scores. Amed Rosario scores. (inning 1) — +24% Rays
8Jonny DeLuca doubles (5) on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Jose Siri scores.3–5
7Ben Rice homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. DJ LeMahieu scores.3–4
1Isaac Paredes homers (15) on a fly ball to left field. Randy Arozarena scores. Amed Rosario scores.1–4
1Randy Arozarena doubles (16) on a ground ball to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Yandy Díaz scores. Fielding error by left fielder Alex Verdugo.1–1
1Gleyber Torres singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Juan Soto scores. Alex Verdugo to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














