Mariners at Rays
Last play · Amed Rosario grounds into a double play, shortstop J. P. Crawford to second baseman Ryan Bliss to first baseman Ty France. Richie Palacios out at 2nd. Amed Rosario out at 1st.
Win probability
Rays0%
SEA 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 0 – 1 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 44.4% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Rays favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Cal Raleigh homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. Josh Rojas scores. Julio Rodríguez scores. (inning 6) — -46% Mariners
9Richie Palacios grounds into a force out, second baseman Ryan Bliss to shortstop J. P. Crawford. Josh Lowe scores. Randy Arozarena to 3rd. Isaac Paredes out at 2nd. Richie Palacios to 1st.5–2
7J.P. Crawford singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Mitch Garver scores. Dominic Canzone scores.5–1
6Cal Raleigh homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. Josh Rojas scores. Julio Rodríguez scores.3–1
3Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to pitcher George Kirby. José Caballero scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














