Nationals at Rays
Last play · Randy Arozarena flies out to center fielder Jacob Young.
Win probability
Rays0%
WSH 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 2 – 1 TB
Nationals led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Rays favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jacob Young flies out to right fielder Josh Lowe. (inning 4) — -14% Nationals
7Keibert Ruiz singles on a line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Harold Ramírez scores.8–1
7Harold Ramírez triples (1) on a line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. Jesse Winker scores. Luis García Jr. scores.7–1
7Luis García Jr. singles on a line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. Lane Thomas scores. Jesse Winker to 2nd.5–1
7Jesse Winker singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. CJ Abrams scores. Lane Thomas to 2nd.4–1
7CJ Abrams doubles (20) on a fly ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Jacob Young scores.3–1
4Jacob Young flies out to right fielder Josh Lowe.2–1
1Brandon Lowe homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field.1–1
1CJ Abrams homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














