Nationals at Rays
Last play · Nick Senzel grounds out to first baseman Yandy Díaz.
Win probability
Rays100%
WSH 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 2 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Rays favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jose Siri homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 2) — +15% Rays
7CJ Abrams hit by pitch.1–3
6Jose Siri homers (11) on a line drive to center field.0–3
3Isaac Paredes singles on a line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Randy Arozarena scores. Isaac Paredes to 2nd. Isaac Paredes advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by center fielder Jacob Young.0–2
2Jose Siri homers (10) on a fly ball to left field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














