Yankees at Rays
Last play · Josh Lowe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays0%
NYY 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 2 – 1 TB
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Rays favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yandy Díaz grounds into a force out, third baseman DJ LeMahieu to second baseman Gleyber Torres. Ben Rortvedt scores. Taylor Walls out at 2nd. Yandy Díaz to 1st. (inning 5) — +15% Rays
5Yandy Díaz grounds into a force out, third baseman DJ LeMahieu to second baseman Gleyber Torres. Ben Rortvedt scores. Taylor Walls out at 2nd. Yandy Díaz to 1st.2–1
4Trent Grisham out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Gleyber Torres scores.2–0
2Trent Grisham doubles (4) on a fly ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Anthony Volpe scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














