Guardians at Rays
Last play · Jonny DeLuca grounds out, third baseman José Ramírez to first baseman Josh Naylor.
Win probability
Rays0%
CLE 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 2 – 2 TB
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Rays favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jhonkensy Noel homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Tyler Freeman scores. (inning 8) — -39% Guardians
8Jhonkensy Noel homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field. Tyler Freeman scores.4–2
5Jonny DeLuca reaches on a throwing error by shortstop Daniel Schneemann. Richie Palacios scores.2–2
5Andrés Giménez singles on a line drive to right fielder Richie Palacios. Josh Naylor scores. David Fry to 3rd.2–1
5Angel Martínez homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
3Yandy Díaz doubles (21) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Richie Palacios scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














