Guardians at Rays
Last play · David Fry flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
Win probability
Rays100%
CLE 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 1 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Rays favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Brandon Lowe homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 6) — +21% Rays
6Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Brandon Lowe homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
3Jose Siri homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














