Yankees at Rays
Last play · Yankees challenged (catch or drop), call on the field was upheld: Gleyber Torres pops out to second baseman José Caballero.
Win probability
Rays100%
NYY 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 3 – 5 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Rays favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Randy Arozarena homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Yandy Díaz scores. (inning 1) — +17% Rays
9Ben Rice singles on a line drive to right fielder Jonny DeLuca. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. Juan Soto to 3rd.4–5
5Ben Rice out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Oswaldo Cabrera scores. Juan Soto to 3rd.3–5
3Jose Siri out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Trent Grisham. Isaac Paredes scores.2–5
3Amed Rosario doubles (14) on a ground ball to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Brandon Lowe scores. Isaac Paredes to 3rd.2–4
3Brandon Lowe singles on a line drive to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Yandy Díaz scores. Brandon Lowe to 2nd.2–3
3Juan Soto homers (22) on a fly ball to left center field.2–2
2Austin Wells homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.1–2
1Randy Arozarena homers (12) on a fly ball to left field. Yandy Díaz scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














