Guardians at Rays
Last play · Andrés Giménez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays100%
CLE 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCLE 0 – 2 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Rays favored ↑50%Guardians favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Lowe grounds into a double play, second baseman Andrés Giménez to shortstop Daniel Schneemann to first baseman Josh Naylor. Alex Jackson scores. Yandy Díaz out at 2nd. Brandon Lowe out at 1st. (inning 3) — +11% Rays
5Yandy Díaz doubles (20) on a ground ball to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Alex Jackson scores.0–2
3Brandon Lowe grounds into a double play, second baseman Andrés Giménez to shortstop Daniel Schneemann to first baseman Josh Naylor. Alex Jackson scores. Yandy Díaz out at 2nd. Brandon Lowe out at 1st.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














