Reds at Rays
Last play · Will Benson called out on strikes.
Win probability
Rays100%
CIN 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 1 – 0 TB
Reds led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Rays favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Amed Rosario strikes out swinging. José Caballero scores. Brandon Lowe to 3rd. Isaac Paredes to 2nd. Amed Rosario to 1st. Wild pitch by pitcher Fernando Cruz. (inning 8) — +32% Rays
8Richie Palacios walks. Brandon Lowe scores. Isaac Paredes to 3rd. Amed Rosario to 2nd.1–2
8Amed Rosario strikes out swinging. José Caballero scores. Brandon Lowe to 3rd. Isaac Paredes to 2nd. Amed Rosario to 1st. Wild pitch by pitcher Fernando Cruz.1–1
2Austin Wynns singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Stuart Fairchild scores. Santiago Espinal out at home on the throw, center fielder Jonny DeLuca to third baseman Isaac Paredes to first baseman Yandy Díaz to shortstop Taylor Walls to catcher Ben Rortvedt.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














