Marlins at Rays
Last play · Emmanuel Rivera lines out to center fielder Jose Siri.
Win probability
Rays100%
MIA 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 3 – 1 TB
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -175
Rays favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ben Rortvedt singles on a line drive to left fielder Nick Gordon. Christopher Morel scores. Josh Lowe scores. Richie Palacios to 2nd. (inning 6) — +34% Rays
8Brandon Lowe doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Vidal Bruján. Yandy Díaz scores.3–9
7Jose Siri reaches on catcher interference by Nick Fortes. Jose Siri to 1st.3–8
7José Caballero doubles (15) on a ground ball to left fielder Nick Gordon. Josh Lowe scores. José Caballero to 3rd.3–7
6Yandy Díaz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Nick Gordon. Richie Palacios scores. Ben Rortvedt scores. Taylor Walls to 2nd.3–6
6Ben Rortvedt singles on a line drive to left fielder Nick Gordon. Christopher Morel scores. Josh Lowe scores. Richie Palacios to 2nd.3–4
6Josh Lowe doubles (10) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Jesús Sánchez. Brandon Lowe scores. Christopher Morel to 3rd.3–2
5Jake Burger homers (14) on a fly ball to left field.3–1
4Christopher Morel homers (19) on a fly ball to center field.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
