Astros at Rays
Last play · Jonny DeLuca pops out to first baseman Jon Singleton in foul territory.
Win probability
Rays0%
HOU 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 6 – 1 TB
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Rays favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yainer Diaz homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. Jose Altuve scores. Yordan Alvarez scores. (inning 3) — -20% Astros
5Jake Meyers grounds into a force out, second baseman Christopher Morel to shortstop Taylor Walls. Yordan Alvarez scores. Jeremy Peña to 3rd. Jon Singleton out at 2nd. Jake Meyers to 1st.6–1
3José Caballero out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Pedro León. Taylor Walls scores.5–1
3Yainer Diaz homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field. Jose Altuve scores. Yordan Alvarez scores.5–0
3Yordan Alvarez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jose Siri. Chas McCormick scores. Jose Altuve to 3rd.2–0
1Alex Bregman homers (18) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
