Orioles at Rays
Last play · Colton Cowser strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rays100%
BAL 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 1 – 0 TB
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Rays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Curtis Mead out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Anthony Santander. Brandon Lowe scores. Christopher Morel to 3rd. (inning 8) — +29% Rays
8Curtis Mead out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Anthony Santander. Brandon Lowe scores. Christopher Morel to 3rd.1–2
7Dylan Carlson singles on a fly ball to center fielder Colton Cowser. José Caballero scores. Dylan Carlson to 2nd.1–1
4Anthony Santander homers (35) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
