Orioles at Rays
Last play · Brandon Lowe lines out sharply to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
Win probability
Rays0%
BAL 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 4 – 3 TB
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +120
Rays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ramón Urías homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Jackson Holliday scores. (inning 8) — -39% Orioles
8Jose Siri walks. Yandy Díaz scores. Christopher Morel to 3rd. Dylan Carlson to 2nd.7–5
8Ryan Mountcastle singles on a ground ball to pitcher Colin Poche. Colton Cowser scores. Gunnar Henderson to 2nd.7–4
8Ramón Urías homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Jackson Holliday scores.6–4
7José Caballero homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.4–4
5Jonny DeLuca doubles (9) on a ground ball to left fielder Colton Cowser. Alex Jackson scores.4–3
5Alex Jackson doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Colton Cowser. José Caballero scores.4–2
5Curtis Mead strikes out swinging.4–1
2Jackson Holliday homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
