D-backs at Rays
Last play · Brandon Lowe singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake McCarthy, deflected by second baseman Blaze Alexander. Jonny DeLuca scores. Fielding error by center fielder Jake McCarthy.
Win probability
Rays100%
AZ 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 2 – 1 TB
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Rays favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Lowe singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jake McCarthy, deflected by left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Yandy Díaz scores. Christopher Morel scores. (inning 8) — +61% Rays
9Brandon Lowe singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake McCarthy, deflected by second baseman Blaze Alexander. Jonny DeLuca scores. Fielding error by center fielder Jake McCarthy.4–5
9Corbin Carroll homers (12) on a fly ball to right field. Eugenio Suárez scores.4–4
8Dylan Carlson singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake McCarthy. Josh Lowe scores. Taylor Walls to 3rd.2–4
8Josh Lowe singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jake McCarthy, deflected by left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Yandy Díaz scores. Christopher Morel scores.2–3
5Dylan Carlson homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.2–1
1Lourdes Gurriel Jr. singles on a fly ball to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Jake McCarthy scores.2–0
1Joc Pederson singles on a line drive to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Corbin Carroll scores. Jake McCarthy to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
