Astros at Rays
Last play · Taylor Walls grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman Zach Dezenzo.
Win probability
Rays0%
HOU 100%TB 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 0 TB
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Rays favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Astros challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Yandy Díaz reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Jose Altuve. Taylor Walls scores. (inning 8) — +32% Rays
10Mauricio Dubón singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. Pedro León scores. Jake Meyers to 3rd.2–1
8Astros challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Yandy Díaz reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by second baseman Jose Altuve. Taylor Walls scores.1–1
5Jeremy Peña homers (12) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
