D-backs at Rays
Last play · Dylan Carlson singles on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Alex Jackson scores. Taylor Walls to 2nd.
Win probability
Rays100%
AZ 0%TB 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 0 – 5 TB
Rays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Rays favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Adrian Del Castillo homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Jake McCarthy scores. Joc Pederson scores. (inning 9) — -49% D-backs
12Dylan Carlson singles on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Alex Jackson scores. Taylor Walls to 2nd.7–8
10Taylor Walls singles on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Alex Jackson scores. Taylor Walls out at 3rd, pitcher Kevin Ginkel to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo.7–7
10Joc Pederson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jose Siri. Corbin Carroll scores. Jake McCarthy to 3rd.7–6
9Adrian Del Castillo homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Jake McCarthy scores. Joc Pederson scores.6–6
8Corbin Carroll homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Kevin Newman scores.3–6
7Jake McCarthy out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Dylan Carlson. Corbin Carroll scores.1–6
6Brandon Lowe called out on strikes.0–6
5Junior Caminero singles on a ground ball to pitcher Merrill Kelly. José Caballero scores. Junior Caminero to 3rd. Junior Caminero advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by pitcher Merrill Kelly.0–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
