D-backs at Rangers
Last play · Kevin Newman strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rangers100%
AZ 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 2 – 4 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Rangers favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Corey Seager homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field. Jonah Heim scores. Marcus Semien scores. (inning 5) — +40% Rangers
5Corey Seager homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field. Jonah Heim scores. Marcus Semien scores.2–4
3Josh Smith singles on a line drive to center fielder Corbin Carroll. Travis Jankowski scores. Corey Seager to 3rd.2–1
2Eugenio Suárez out on a sacrifice fly to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe in foul territory. Pavin Smith scores. Jake McCarthy to 3rd.2–0
2Pavin Smith doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Travis Jankowski. Christian Walker scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
