Royals at Rangers
Last play · Hunter Renfroe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rangers100%
KC 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 2 – 1 TEX
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -145
Rangers favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Marcus Semien doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to left fielder MJ Melendez. Jonah Heim scores. Robbie Grossman scores. Leody Taveras scores. Marcus Semien out at 3rd, pitcher Sam Long to third baseman Maikel Garcia. (inning 6) — +21% Rangers
6Marcus Semien doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to left fielder MJ Melendez. Jonah Heim scores. Robbie Grossman scores. Leody Taveras scores. Marcus Semien out at 3rd, pitcher Sam Long to third baseman Maikel Garcia.2–6
6Jonah Heim grounds into a force out, second baseman Nick Loftin to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Wyatt Langford out at 2nd. Jonah Heim to 1st.2–3
6Wyatt Langford singles on a ground ball to left fielder MJ Melendez. Adolis García scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 3rd.2–2
5Garrett Hampson singles on a ground ball to left fielder Wyatt Langford, deflected by shortstop Corey Seager. MJ Melendez scores. Hunter Renfroe to 3rd.2–1
4Wyatt Langford doubles (7) on a ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Adolis García scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 3rd.1–1
3Kyle Isbel homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














