Mets at Rangers
Last play · Sam Huff strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rangers0%
NYM 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 11 – 2 TEX
Mets led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Rangers favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Pete Alonso singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Francisco Lindor scores. J.D. Martinez to 3rd. (inning 1) — -12% Mets
8Jeff McNeil grounds into a force out, second baseman Marcus Semien to shortstop Ezequiel Duran. Mark Vientos scores. Francisco Alvarez out at 2nd. Jeff McNeil to 1st.14–2
8Francisco Alvarez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Leody Taveras. Tyrone Taylor scores. Mark Vientos to 3rd.13–2
6Francisco Alvarez singles on a line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford. DJ Stewart scores. Mark Vientos to 2nd.12–2
5Brandon Nimmo singles on a line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Jeff McNeil scores. Francisco Lindor to 3rd.11–2
5Francisco Lindor doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Francisco Alvarez scores. Jeff McNeil to 3rd.10–2
4Brandon Nimmo homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field. Francisco Lindor scores.9–2
3Robbie Grossman homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Marcus Semien scores.7–2
2DJ Stewart homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Brandon Nimmo scores. Pete Alonso scores.7–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














