Mets at Rangers
Last play · Leody Taveras flies out to left fielder Brandon Nimmo.
Win probability
Rangers0%
NYM 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 2 – 6 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Rangers favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Francisco Alvarez doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Pete Alonso scores. Starling Marte scores. (inning 8) — -34% Mets
9Pete Alonso doubles (18) on a ground ball to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Brandon Nimmo scores. J.D. Martinez to 3rd.7–6
8Francisco Alvarez doubles (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Pete Alonso scores. Starling Marte scores.6–6
7Francisco Lindor grounds into a force out, fielded by shortstop Corey Seager. Mark Vientos scores. Francisco Alvarez to 3rd. DJ Stewart out at 2nd. Francisco Lindor to 1st.4–6
6Brandon Nimmo homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field.3–6
5Wyatt Langford homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.2–6
5Josh Smith homers (5) on a fly ball to right center field. Leody Taveras scores. Corey Seager scores.2–5
5Corey Seager singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Ezequiel Duran scores. Leody Taveras to 3rd.2–2
5Harrison Bader grounds out, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe. Mark Vientos scores. Jeff McNeil to 2nd.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














