Royals at Rangers
Last play · Vinnie Pasquantino called out on strikes.
Win probability
Rangers100%
KC 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 1 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -145
Rangers favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Smith homers (6) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 4) — +19% Rangers
8Wyatt Langford hits a grand slam (3) to left field. Corey Seager scores. Adolis García scores. Nathaniel Lowe scores.0–6
8Adolis García reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by pitcher Angel Zerpa. Marcus Semien scores. Corey Seager to 3rd.0–2
4Josh Smith homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














