Rays at Rangers
Last play · Josh Lowe strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Rangers100%
TB 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 2 – 10 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Rangers favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · José Caballero homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field. Ben Rortvedt scores. (inning 3) — -24% Rays
8Robbie Grossman walks. Josh Smith scores. Wyatt Langford to 3rd. Leody Taveras to 2nd.2–13
7Robbie Grossman homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.2–12
6Jonah Heim homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.2–11
5Derek Hill singles on a fly ball to right fielder Josh Lowe. Jonah Heim scores. Leody Taveras to 3rd. Travis Jankowski to 2nd.2–10
5Travis Jankowski singles on a ground ball to first baseman Yandy Díaz. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Jonah Heim to 3rd. Leody Taveras to 2nd.2–9
5Leody Taveras singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Richie Palacios. Wyatt Langford scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 3rd. Jonah Heim to 2nd.2–8
4Corey Seager homers (16) on a fly ball to right field. Travis Jankowski scores. Marcus Semien scores.2–7
4Travis Jankowski singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Nathaniel Lowe scores. Jonah Heim scores. Travis Jankowski to 2nd.2–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














