Rays at Rangers
Last play · Brandon Lowe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rangers100%
TB 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 3 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Rangers favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Corey Seager doubles (10) on a line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. Jonathan Ornelas scores. Marcus Semien scores. (inning 3) — +23% Rangers
3Nathaniel Lowe singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jose Siri. Corey Seager scores.0–3
3Corey Seager doubles (10) on a line drive to center fielder Jose Siri. Jonathan Ornelas scores. Marcus Semien scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














