White Sox at Rangers
Last play · Andrew Vaughn grounds out, shortstop Jonathan Ornelas to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
Win probability
Rangers100%
CWS 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCWS 2 – 3 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+210 / -255
Rangers favored ↑50%White Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nathaniel Lowe singles on a line drive to center fielder Luis Robert Jr. Adolis García scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 2nd. Nathaniel Lowe advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by center fielder Luis Robert Jr. (inning 5) — +15% Rangers
8Nathaniel Lowe homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Corey Seager scores. Adolis García scores.2–10
8Adolis García grounds into a force out, shortstop Nicky Lopez to second baseman Brooks Baldwin. Marcus Semien scores. Corey Seager to 3rd. Wyatt Langford out at 2nd. Adolis García to 1st.2–7
8Josh Smith out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Tommy Pham. Leody Taveras scores. Marcus Semien to 3rd.2–6
8Robbie Grossman homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.2–5
6Josh Smith singles on a line drive to center fielder Luis Robert Jr. Marcus Semien scores. Corey Seager to 2nd.2–4
5Nathaniel Lowe singles on a line drive to center fielder Luis Robert Jr. Adolis García scores. Nathaniel Lowe to 2nd. Nathaniel Lowe advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by center fielder Luis Robert Jr.2–3
5Adolis García doubles (16) on a ground ball to center fielder Luis Robert Jr. Corey Seager scores.2–2
3Luis Robert Jr. homers (12) on a line drive to left field.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














