Red Sox at Rangers
Last play · Connor Wong grounds out, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
Win probability
Rangers100%
BOS 0%TEX 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 3 – 4 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Rangers favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jonah Heim homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Josh Jung scores. Ezequiel Duran scores. (inning 4) — +37% Rangers
7Rob Refsnyder doubles (15) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Ezequiel Duran. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.4–7
6Josh Smith singles on a ground ball to right fielder Rob Refsnyder. Jonah Heim scores. Leody Taveras to 2nd.3–7
6Leody Taveras singles on a ground ball to shortstop Nick Sogard. Ezequiel Duran scores. Jonah Heim to 3rd.3–6
6Ezequiel Duran singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Adolis García scores. Josh Jung to 2nd.3–5
4Leody Taveras homers (9) on a line drive to right field.3–4
4Jonah Heim homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Josh Jung scores. Ezequiel Duran scores.3–3
4Connor Wong singles on a line drive to left fielder Ezequiel Duran. Rafael Devers scores.3–0
4Rob Refsnyder homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
