Red Sox at Rangers
Last play · Robbie Grossman flies out to shortstop Ceddanne Rafaela.
Win probability
Rangers0%
BOS 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 7 – 3 TEX
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Rangers favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wilyer Abreu homers (10) on a fly ball to right field. Connor Wong scores. (inning 2) — -25% Red Sox
9Dominic Smith doubles (18) on a line drive to right fielder Ezequiel Duran. Connor Wong scores.11–6
9Rafael Devers homers (25) on a fly ball to right field.10–6
7Corey Seager out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jarren Duran. Carson Kelly scores.9–6
6Marcus Semien homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field. Corey Seager scores.9–5
6Ceddanne Rafaela homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field. Nick Sogard scores.9–3
5Masataka Yoshida out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Leody Taveras. Jarren Duran scores.7–3
4Nick Sogard singles on a line drive to right fielder Ezequiel Duran. Connor Wong scores. Wilyer Abreu scores.6–3
4Wilyer Abreu singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Rafael Devers scores. Connor Wong to 2nd.4–3
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
