Astros at Rangers
Last play · Josh Jung flies out to right fielder Chas McCormick.
Win probability
Rangers0%
HOU 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 0 TEX
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Rangers favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Meyers singles on a line drive to left fielder Josh Smith. Jeremy Peña scores. Jon Singleton to 2nd. (inning 6) — -15% Astros
9Corey Seager homers (24) on a fly ball to right center field. Josh Smith scores.4–2
9Yordan Alvarez homers (21) on a fly ball to right center field. Alex Bregman scores.4–0
6Jake Meyers singles on a line drive to left fielder Josh Smith. Jeremy Peña scores. Jon Singleton to 2nd.2–0
4Jake Meyers singles on a fly ball to right fielder Adolis García. Jeremy Peña scores. Zach Dezenzo to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
