Astros at Rangers
Last play · Josh Jung pops out to second baseman Jose Altuve.
Win probability
Rangers0%
HOU 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 2 – 0 TEX
Astros led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Rangers favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yordan Alvarez homers (22) on a line drive to center field. (inning 3) — -16% Astros
8Jonah Heim singles on a line drive to left fielder Chas McCormick. Wyatt Langford scores. Adolis García to 2nd.6–4
8Alex Bregman singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Adolis García. Zach Dezenzo scores. Mauricio Dubón to 3rd.6–3
6Leody Taveras out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Mauricio Dubón. Nathaniel Lowe scores.5–3
6Nathaniel Lowe triples (1) on a line drive to left fielder Yordan Alvarez. Wyatt Langford scores.5–2
6Marcus Semien homers (17) on a fly ball to left field.5–1
6Jose Altuve singles on a ground ball to center fielder Wyatt Langford. Mauricio Dubón scores.5–0
6Mauricio Dubón doubles (20) on a line drive to left fielder Josh Smith. Zach Dezenzo scores.4–0
6Victor Caratini homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
