Red Sox at Rangers
Last play · Adolis García pops out to first baseman Dominic Smith in foul territory.
Win probability
Rangers0%
BOS 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 3 – 2 TEX
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Rangers favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wilyer Abreu homers (12) on a line drive to right center field. Rafael Devers scores. Connor Wong scores. (inning 6) — -28% Red Sox
8David Hamilton homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.7–2
6Wilyer Abreu homers (12) on a line drive to right center field. Rafael Devers scores. Connor Wong scores.6–2
5Jarren Duran homers (14) on a fly ball to right center field.3–2
4Wilyer Abreu homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.2–2
3Jarren Duran doubles (34) on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. David Hamilton scores.1–2
2Josh Jung homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.0–2
1Corey Seager homers (22) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
