Twins at Rangers
Last play · Carson Kelly grounds out, third baseman Royce Lewis to first baseman Carlos Santana.
Win probability
Rangers0%
MIN 100%TEX 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 2 TEX
Rangers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Rangers favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willi Castro singles on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Edouard Julien scores. Christian Vázquez scores. Austin Martin scores. Willi Castro to 3rd. Throwing error by center fielder Leody Taveras. (inning 8) — -65% Twins
9Kyle Farmer out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Leody Taveras. Carlos Santana scores.5–2
8Willi Castro singles on a line drive to center fielder Leody Taveras. Edouard Julien scores. Christian Vázquez scores. Austin Martin scores. Willi Castro to 3rd. Throwing error by center fielder Leody Taveras.4–2
4Carson Kelly doubles (6) on a fly ball to center fielder Austin Martin. Jonah Heim scores.1–2
4Trevor Larnach homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.1–1
2Carson Kelly singles on a line drive to left fielder Trevor Larnach. Wyatt Langford scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
