Twins at Blue Jays
Last play · Davis Schneider lines out to second baseman Edouard Julien.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
MIN 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 0 TOR
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Carlos Santana homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Max Kepler scores. Alex Kirilloff scores. (inning 7) — -41% Twins
8Max Kepler doubles (9) on a sharp line drive to right fielder George Springer. Edouard Julien scores. Carlos Correa scores.5–1
7Danny Jansen out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Willi Castro. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.3–1
7Carlos Santana homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Max Kepler scores. Alex Kirilloff scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








