Rays at Blue Jays
Last play · Jonny DeLuca strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
TB 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 3 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daniel Vogelbach homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 2) — +10% Blue Jays
9Isaac Paredes homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Jonathan Aranda scores.2–5
6Alejandro Kirk doubles (4) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Randy Arozarena. Daniel Vogelbach scores. George Springer scores.0–5
4Isiah Kiner-Falefa reaches on a fielding error by third baseman Isaac Paredes. George Springer scores.0–3
4George Springer doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Daniel Vogelbach scores.0–2
2Daniel Vogelbach homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
