Rays at Blue Jays
Last play · Justin Turner flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
TB 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTB 0 – 0 TOR
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Rays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Richie Palacios homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Isaac Paredes scores. (inning 6) — -24% Rays
8Cavan Biggio singles on a line drive to center fielder Jonny DeLuca. Daulton Varsho scores. Kevin Kiermaier to 2nd.4–3
8Davis Schneider homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field. Danny Jansen scores.4–2
7Yandy Díaz singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Ben Rortvedt scores. Jonny DeLuca to 3rd.4–0
6Richie Palacios homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Isaac Paredes scores.3–0
6Jonathan Aranda grounds out sharply, second baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Randy Arozarena scores. Throwing error by first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
