Pirates at Blue Jays
Last play · Isiah Kiner-Falefa lines out to right fielder Connor Joe.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
PIT 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 5 – 0 TOR
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -150
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ke'Bryan Hayes homers (2) on a line drive to left center field. Connor Joe scores. (inning 1) — -16% Pirates
9Bryan Reynolds homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Andrew McCutchen scores.8–1
6Daniel Vogelbach singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores.6–1
6Jared Triolo reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Bo Bichette. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Nick Gonzales to 3rd. Throwing error by shortstop Bo Bichette.6–0
5Connor Joe singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Davis Schneider. Andrew McCutchen scores. Connor Joe out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Davis Schneider to second baseman Cavan Biggio. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd.5–0
5Andrew McCutchen singles on a line drive to left fielder Davis Schneider, deflected by shortstop Bo Bichette. Jared Triolo scores.4–0
1Ke'Bryan Hayes homers (2) on a line drive to left center field. Connor Joe scores.3–0
1Edward Olivares out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder George Springer. Andrew McCutchen scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
