Orioles at Blue Jays
Last play · Justin Turner flies out to right fielder Kyle Stowers.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
BAL 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 7 – 0 TOR
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +130
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ryan Mountcastle homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Gunnar Henderson scores. Adley Rutschman scores. (inning 3) — -26% Orioles
8Connor Norby homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Colton Cowser scores.10–1
7George Springer homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.8–1
7Anthony Santander doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder George Springer. Gunnar Henderson scores.8–0
5Ryan Mountcastle homers (10) on a fly ball to center field. Adley Rutschman scores.7–0
5Adley Rutschman singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder George Springer. Gunnar Henderson scores.5–0
3Ryan Mountcastle homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Gunnar Henderson scores. Adley Rutschman scores.4–0
3Adley Rutschman singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Colton Cowser scores. Gunnar Henderson to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














