Orioles at Blue Jays
Last play · Isiah Kiner-Falefa flies out to center fielder Colton Cowser.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
BAL 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 5 – 2 TOR
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Anthony Santander homers (11) on a line drive to right field. Ryan O'Hearn scores. (inning 2) — -25% Orioles
9Ramón Urías homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.7–2
7Austin Hays homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field.6–2
4Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (6) on a fly ball to center field.5–2
4Austin Hays homers (1) on a fly ball to left field. Colton Cowser scores.5–1
4Colton Cowser doubles (12) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Daulton Varsho. Anthony Santander scores.3–1
2Daulton Varsho triples (3) on a fly ball to right fielder Anthony Santander. George Springer scores.2–1
2Anthony Santander homers (11) on a line drive to right field. Ryan O'Hearn scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














