Yankees at Blue Jays
NYY3–
TOR9Last play · Trent Grisham strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
NYY 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 1 – 3 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. (inning 1) — +17% Blue Jays
9Austin Wells homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field. Gleyber Torres scores.3–9
8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. singles on a ground ball to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 2nd.1–9
6Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (17) on a ground ball to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Alejandro Kirk scores. Bo Bichette scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores.1–8
6Isiah Kiner-Falefa singles on a ground ball to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Daulton Varsho scores. Alejandro Kirk to 3rd. Bo Bichette to 2nd.1–5
6Alejandro Kirk singles on a ground ball to left fielder Alex Verdugo. George Springer scores. Daulton Varsho to 2nd.1–4
5Aaron Judge singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Kevin Kiermaier. Anthony Volpe scores.1–3
4Alejandro Kirk doubles (6) on a line drive to right fielder Oswaldo Cabrera. Justin Turner scores. George Springer to 3rd.0–3
1Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (13) on a fly ball to right center field. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.