Yankees at Blue Jays
Last play · Oswaldo Cabrera pops out to third baseman Ernie Clement in foul territory.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
NYY 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 2 – 8 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Justin Turner singles on a soft ground ball to first baseman Ben Rice. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd. (inning 1) — +9% Blue Jays
6Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (11) on a fly ball to left center field.2–9
5Trent Grisham homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Oswaldo Cabrera scores.2–8
2George Springer homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Justin Turner scores.0–8
1George Springer homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Justin Turner scores.0–5
1Justin Turner singles on a soft ground ball to first baseman Ben Rice. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd.0–2
1Vladimir Guerrero Jr. doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Juan Soto. Bo Bichette scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














