Red Sox at Blue Jays
Last play · Davis Schneider pops out to first baseman Bobby Dalbec.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
BOS 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 5 – 1 TOR
Red Sox led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ceddanne Rafaela homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. (inning 3) — -16% Red Sox
7Davis Schneider homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.7–3
7Rafael Devers out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Kevin Kiermaier. Jarren Duran scores.7–2
7Rob Refsnyder doubles (12) on a line drive to right fielder George Springer. Ceddanne Rafaela scores. Jarren Duran to 3rd.6–2
6Justin Turner homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.5–2
4Bobby Dalbec singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Kevin Kiermaier. Connor Wong scores. Romy Gonzalez to 3rd. Fielding error by center fielder Kevin Kiermaier.5–1
3Tyler O'Neill homers (14) on a fly ball to center field.4–1
3Ceddanne Rafaela homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.3–1
2Isiah Kiner-Falefa out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Justin Turner scores.2–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














