Red Sox at Blue Jays
Last play · Danny Jansen called out on strikes.
Win probability
Blue Jays0%
BOS 100%TOR 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 1 – 2 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Tyler O'Neill homers (15) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 8) — -28% Red Sox
8Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Daulton Varsho, deflected by shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa. David Hamilton scores.4–3
8Tyler O'Neill homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.3–3
6Isiah Kiner-Falefa singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Justin Turner scores. Alejandro Kirk to 3rd. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 2nd.2–3
6Masataka Yoshida singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Rafael Devers scores.2–2
2Ernie Clement doubles (9) on a line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Justin Turner scores. Addison Barger scores.1–2
2Dominic Smith singles on a line drive to center fielder Daulton Varsho. Tyler O'Neill scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














