Astros at Blue Jays
Last play · Jose Altuve flies out to center fielder Kevin Kiermaier.
Win probability
Blue Jays100%
HOU 0%TOR 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 5 – 7 TOR
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Blue Jays favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · George Springer homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Justin Turner scores. (inning 3) — +14% Blue Jays
8Jake Meyers grounds out, second baseman Spencer Horwitz to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Yordan Alvarez scores.6–7
5Yordan Alvarez homers (18) on a fly ball to right field. César Salazar scores. Jose Altuve scores.5–7
5Jose Altuve singles on a ground ball to left fielder Addison Barger. Jeremy Peña scores. César Salazar to 2nd.2–7
5César Salazar singles on a line drive to right fielder George Springer. Jon Singleton scores. Jeremy Peña to 3rd.1–7
4Spencer Horwitz pops out to third baseman Alex Bregman.0–7
4Addison Barger doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jake Meyers. Ernie Clement scores. Alejandro Kirk to 3rd.0–6
3George Springer homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Justin Turner scores.0–5
3Spencer Horwitz homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














